Poll: Next big "green" powertrain
What will be the next big "green" powertrain in the U.S.?
Annual Fuel Cell Vehicle Sales to Reach 670,000 by 2020
Adoption of fuel cell vehicles is expected to accelerate rapidly over the next 10 years, according to a recent report from Pike Research.Fuel cell vehicles are expected to be commercially launched in 2014 in most regions of the world, and their sales will reach almost 670,000 vehicles per year by 2020, with the United States (134,049 FCVs), China (129,241 FCVs) and Germany (126,783 FCVs) representing the largest markets.
Pike Research forecasts that fuel cell transit buses will be at the vanguard of the FCV movement, with sales growing at a compound annual growth rate of 31.7% by 2015.
Pike Research expects that FCVs will remain a small niche within the overall vehicle market for the first five or six years after they are introduced. Another key to expanding the market for fuel cell vehicles is cost reduction, which in turn requires the development of a competitive supplier base that does not yet exist. Fuel cell development for cars and trucks remains largely non-competitive, and the emergence of standards for components such as refueling nozzles, tank specifications, and pressure lines should help drive the technology toward wider adoption.
For a decade or more, fuel cell vehicles have been touted as the “next big thing” in car industry. Now, with fleets of FCVs in the hundreds and the increasing utilization of fuel cells in commercial vehicles, it appears that the FCV may be on the verge of commercialization by mid-decade.
Originally developed for space programs to provide power and water for space flights, fuel cells are now used for a variety of different applications including stationary power sources, materials-handling vehicles such as forklifts, and recharging small portable electronics.
“The entire growth of the fuel cell vehicle market balances on two key elements: the growth of hydrogen gas refueling stations and improvements in the cells themselves,” says industry analyst Dave Hurst. While automakers will likely meet their commitments to bring FCVs to market by 2015, Hurst adds, “convincing governments to subsidize the refueling infrastructure and gas companies to build the costly stations will be much harder.”
Pike Research‘s study, “Fuel Cell Vehicles”, analyzes the current state of fuel cell technology as it moves toward commercialization in light vehicles, medium/heavy duty trucks, and buses. The report examines fuel cell technologies, hydrogen as a fuel, and key drivers of market development for FCVs. Detailed forecasts are provided for global research and development spending, fuel cell transit buses, fuel cell light vehicle production and sales, and revenue from FCV sales.
[source: Pike Research]
Subscribe to the RSS feed or Follow Us on Twitter for more information on green cars, green car news & green car technologies.
- Geneva 2008: New Diesel Engines for Ford Mondeo, Ford S-MAX and Ford Galaxy
- MIT Scientists Find New Way to Generate Electricity
- SolarCity, Rabobank to Build Fast-Charge Electric Car Charging Corridor
- High Performance, 92 Mpg High Mileage 3 Wheel Sport Car
- 2007 Frankfurt Preview: Peugeot 308RC Z Concept Car